Full record
25% rightmarketsPalantir (PLTR) stock reaches at least $40 per share.
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
25% rightmarkets“it is a no-brainer for me and for kathy and that is why i think it has at least a 40 target in my opinion”
Palantir (PLTR) stock reaches at least $40 per share.
- Made on
- 2021-03-05
- Outcome
- 25% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.04
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-03-05
Resolves TRUE if PLTR trades at or above $40.00 at any point from 2021-03-05 (made_on) through 2024-03-05; FALSE if that level is never reached in the window.
Evidence points FALSE: from the claim date (2021-03-05) to the deadline (2024-03-05), PLTR's highest traded price was about $27.50, never reaching $40.00. Interpretation flag for the scorer: the criterion text says 'at any point on or before 2024-03-05' without naming a start date. Read literally back past the claim date, PLTR did print $45.00 in January 2021, which would flip the result; read the normal Avow way (window runs from made_on to deadline), it is a clear miss. I applied the made_on-to-deadline window. PLTR did not trade above $40 again until well after this deadline (its recovery past the old high came in late 2024). No conflicting evidence.
Sources
PLTR STOCK: Cathie Wood Just Dropped a MASSIVE BOMBSHELL about PLTR's Future | PLTR Stock Prediction
YouTube - Tom Nash ·
Evidence of what happened
Yahoo Finance monthly OHLC series for PLTR covering 2021-03-05 through 2024-03-05: the maximum value across the entire 'high' series in that window is $27.50 (June 2021 bar). No month in the window has a high at or above $40 - the stock never came within 30% of the $40 target during the prediction window.
Yahoo Finance monthly OHLC series for PLTR covering October 2020 through early March 2021, for context on the pre-claim period: monthly highs were $11.10 (Oct 2020), $33.50 (Nov 2020), $31.24 (Dec 2020), $45.00 (Jan 2021), $39.22 (Feb 2021), $27.47 (Mar 2021). The $45.00 January 2021 high - PLTR's record at the time - predates the 2021-03-05 claim date, and by the time the claim was made the stock had already fallen back to the high-$20s.
Corrections
- What counted as right: Criterion omitted the window start; read literally it would include the pre-claim Jan-2021 $45 high and flip the result. Making the standard made_on→deadline window explicit matches the applied resolution.
Effect on the score
+2.04- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- 25% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Palantir (PLTR) stock reaches at least $40 per share.- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-03-05
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources