Full record
HittechLordstown's Endurance truck will fail to launch within six months (will miss its ~September 2021 production target)
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hittech“you've done about 20 000 miles of road testing this is a track that's supposed to come out in what six months you must be crazy that ain't never going to happen”
Lordstown's Endurance truck will fail to launch within six months (will miss its ~September 2021 production target)
- Made on
- 2021-03-21
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-09-21
Lordstown Endurance does not reach commercial production/launch on or before 2021-09-21
Criterion (did NOT reach commercial production/launch on or before 2021-09-21) is satisfied. Even the company's own contemporaneous guidance conceded only limited test/beta builds in late Sept 2021, with commercial production and first customer deliveries pushed to Q3/Q4 2022. Endurance commercial production did not begin until roughly September 2022. resolved_on set to the deadline, the point at which the non-occurrence of a launch is confirmed.
Sources
Lordstown Motors: The Wreckoning
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Lordstown's own Aug 11, 2021 update (new CEO Dan Ninivaggi): only LIMITED test/validation production to start in late September 2021 — not commercial production. Commercial production and deliveries revised to begin Q3 2022. No commercial launch occurred on or before the 2021-09-21 deadline.
InsideEVs: Endurance commercial production/deliveries delayed to Q3 2022; Lordstown plant sold to Foxconn. Confirms the ~September 2021 production target was missed.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2- How sure they sounded
- 97%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Lordstown's Endurance truck will fail to launch within six…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-03-21
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources