Full record
HitmarketsNo Chinese company will be delisted from a US exchange under the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“i honestly think no chinese companies will get the listed”
No Chinese company will be delisted from a US exchange under the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act
- Made on
- 2021-03-25
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Effect on score
- +3.02
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-12-31
No company is delisted or forcibly removed from a US exchange under HFCAA enforcement on or before 2024-12-31
Criterion: no company delisted/forcibly removed under HFCAA ENFORCEMENT by 2024-12-31. Met — zero HFCAA-forced delistings occurred; the PCAOB gaining inspection access in Dec 2022 short-circuited enforcement, and the annual PCAOB re-determinations for 2023 and 2024 maintained access. Note (does not affect this criterion): five Chinese SOEs (e.g., PetroChina, Sinopec, China Life) VOLUNTARILY delisted their US ADRs in Aug 2022 for their own strategic reasons — these were voluntary withdrawals, not HFCAA forced removals, so they do not satisfy 'forcibly removed under HFCAA enforcement.'
Sources
Breaking!! SEC Starts Delisting Process Against Alibaba | Other Chinese Stocks Also Being Targeted
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
On 2022-12-15 the PCAOB announced it had secured complete access to inspect and investigate audit firms in mainland China and Hong Kong for the first time, resetting the HFCAA three-year clock and removing the imminent risk of forced delisting for 200+ China-based issuers. No company reached the HFCAA terminal enforcement point (SEC trading prohibition / forced delisting) on or before 2024-12-31.
SEC Chair Gensler statement (2022-12-15) confirming the PCAOB's determination that it could fully inspect Chinese firms, meaning no issuer would be subject to an HFCAA trading ban for FY2022 filings.
Legal analyses (Winston & Strawn; DLA Piper; Orrick) confirming the December 2022 determination reset the delisting clock and averted HFCAA-driven delistings through the enforcement window covering FY2022–FY2024 filings.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+3.02- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
No Chinese company will be delisted from a US exchange unde…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-03-25
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources