Full record
HitmarketsBitcoin will be worth at least double its mid-March 2021 price by the end of 2025
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“by 2025 bitcoin is gonna be worth double or triple or quadruple what it's worth right now most likely”
Bitcoin will be worth at least double its mid-March 2021 price by the end of 2025
- Made on
- 2021-03-16
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.76
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2025-07-14
BTC price reaches at least 2x its 2021-03-16 level at any point on or before 2025-12-31
Criterion met. 2x of the 2021-03-16 close ($56,511.20) is $113,022.40; BTC exceeded this in mid-July 2025 (unambiguously at the $123,091.61 ATH on 2025-07-14). resolved_on set to 2025-07-14, the first date BTC is unambiguously documented above the exact 2x threshold; the actual first crossing was likely ~2025-07-10 when BTC 'surged beyond $113,000.'
Sources
Breaking!! Bitcoin Getting Banned? Potential Price Impact??
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
BTC closing price on 2021-03-16 was $56,511.20, making the 2x threshold $113,022.40.
Bitcoin reached a new all-time high of $123,091.61 on 2025-07-14, well above the $113,022.40 (2x) threshold, so the criterion was met on or before 2025-12-31. (BTC first surged beyond $113,000 around 2025-07-10 and continued higher, reaching ~$124,198 in Aug 2025.)
Corroborating: Bitcoin surged beyond $113,000 on 2025-07-10 en route to $120K+, confirming the ~$113,022 threshold was crossed in mid-July 2025.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.76- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin will be worth at least double its mid-March 2021 pr…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-03-16
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources