Full record
HitmarketsThe US stock market rises over 2021, extending the bull market through the year.
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“in fact i think there's a good chance the market still keeps going up in 2021 there's a good chance we're still gonna see a bull market in 2021”
The US stock market rises over 2021, extending the bull market through the year.
- Made on
- 2020-12-27
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Effect on score
- +3.02
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-12-31
Resolves TRUE if the S&P 500 closes 2021-12-31 above its 2020-12-31 close; FALSE if it closes at or below that level.
Direction of evidence is TRUE. Cleanest of the five records: the criterion is a single mechanical comparison of two index closes, and both come from one official source (FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis). 4766.18 > 3756.07, a gain of 1010.11 points / +26.89%. No conflicting evidence and no interpretive judgement required. Resolved on the deadline date itself, since the criterion is defined on the 2021-12-31 close.
Sources
How To Build A Bulletproof Investment Portfolio For 2021
YouTube - Tom Nash ·
Evidence of what happened
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+3.02- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The US stock market rises over 2021, extending the bull mar…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-12-27
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources