Full record

Hittech

Apple spends about $50 billion in capital expenditure over the next five years (by 2025-12-26).

A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .

VideoQuote from the original sourcetech

Scored prediction

Hittech

the reason being i see them investing 50 billion dollars in capex in the next five years is because of the apple car

Apple spends about $50 billion in capital expenditure over the next five years (by 2025-12-26).

Made on
2020-12-26
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Effect on score
+1.51

What counted as right

Status
resolved
Settled on
2025-12-26

Resolves TRUE if Apple's cumulative capital expenditure (payments for acquisition of property, plant and equipment, per its reported cash-flow statements) over the five years to 2025-12-26 totals approximately $50 billion, taken as the band $40bn-$60bn (±20%); outside that band resolves FALSE.

Both reasonable window alignments land inside the criterion's stated $40bn-$60bn band and agree closely with each other: the exact date-aligned window 2020-12-26 to 2025-12-27 totals $53.787B, and the simpler FY2021-FY2025 fiscal-year sum totals $54.914B. The $1.1B spread between the two methods is immaterial relative to the $20B-wide band, so the finding is insensitive to how the window is aligned. All figures come from Apple's own SEC-filed cash-flow statements via the EDGAR XBRL API (primary source), using exactly the line item the criterion names. The final input, Q1 FY2026 capex, was filed 2026-01-30, after the 2025-12-26 deadline, so the record only became verifiable at that filing date; resolved_on is set to the criterion window close rather than the filing date. No conflicting evidence found. No outcome value assigned.

Sources

  • Apple (AAPL) Stock at $132 After Apple Car: Buy Now Or Wait?

    YouTube - Tom Nash ·

    Source

Evidence of what happened

  • Apple's audited annual capital expenditure (us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment, 'payments for acquisition of property, plant and equipment' per its reported cash-flow statements), taken directly from its SEC XBRL company facts: FY2021 $11.085B, FY2022 $10.708B, FY2023 $10.959B, FY2024 $9.447B, FY2025 $12.715B. Five-fiscal-year total = $54.914B.

    Evidence

  • Precise alignment to the criterion's five-year window. Apple's fiscal Q1 2021 ended exactly on 2020-12-26, the claim date, so the window 2020-12-26 to 2025-12-26 maps almost perfectly onto fiscal quarters. Excluding Q1 FY2021 capex of $3.500B (quarter 2020-09-27 to 2020-12-26) and adding Q1 FY2026 capex of $2.373B (quarter 2025-09-28 to 2025-12-27, per the 10-Q filed 2026-01-30) gives a window total of $53.787B.

    Evidence

  • Apple Form 10-K for fiscal year ended 2025-09-27, filed 2025-10-31, the source of the FY2025 capex figure of $12.715B that closes out the five-year period.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Effect on the score

+1.51
How sure they sounded
65%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5

This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Where this came from

Apple spends about $50 billion in capital expenditure over…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
August 2, 2026
Made on
2020-12-26

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