Full record
MissmarketsAirbnb (ABNB) is worth about $54 per share, and reaches that level.
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Missmarkets“so i see the company valued at about 32 and a half billion giving it a target price of 54. so for me a good entry point would be anything below 54”
Airbnb (ABNB) is worth about $54 per share, and reaches that level.
- Made on
- 2020-12-08
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +0.46
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2023-12-08
Resolves TRUE if ABNB's share price touches $54.00 (from either direction) at any point between the 2020-12-09 listing and 2023-12-08; FALSE if the stock never trades at or below $54.00 in that window.
The criterion asks whether ABNB touched $54.00 from either direction between the 2020-12-09 listing and 2023-12-08. It did not: the stock's lowest print in the entire window was $81.91, about 52% above the target, and it opened its first trading day near $146. The gap between the observed minimum and the threshold is far too large for data-source or intraday-tick differences to matter. Note the claim was made 2020-12-08, one to two days before listing; even the IPO offer price of $68 was above $54, so the level was never reachable on the downside from the outset either. No conflicting evidence found. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
Buy Airbnb IPO? MASSIVE Target Price Update for ABNB Stock
YouTube - Tom Nash ·
Evidence of what happened
Airbnb daily OHLC covering the entire criterion window, from the 2020-12-10 first trading day through 2023-12-08 (754 sessions, unadjusted; ABNB has never split and pays no dividend, so quoted prices are directly comparable to the $54.00 threshold). The lowest intraday low in the whole window was $81.91 on 2022-12-28. No session had a low at or below $54.00. First close was $144.71 (2020-12-10); last close in the window was $140.68.
Independent re-pull of the same window at weekly granularity from a separate endpoint confirms the identical all-window minimum low of $81.91 (week of 2022-12-26), corroborating that ABNB's lifetime low through the deadline was roughly 52% above the $54.00 level.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+0.46- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Airbnb (ABNB) is worth about $54 per share, and reaches tha…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-12-08
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources