Full record
HitmarketsTesla's share price will rise at least 60% from its early-November 2020 level by December 31, 2021
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“i believe that by the end of next year we have at least 60 to 80 more of upside in tesla”
Tesla's share price will rise at least 60% from its early-November 2020 level by December 31, 2021
- Made on
- 2020-11-09
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-01-08
TSLA's share price is at least 60% above its close on/around 2020-11-09 at any point on or before 2021-12-31
Ratio criterion is split-invariant. Threshold (+60%) first exceeded in early January 2021 and confirmed by the 2021 peak; comfortably met before deadline.
Sources
Tesla Drops Major News About China (Price Spike Expected)
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
TSLA's close on/around 2020-11-09 was ~$421 (as quoted then); a 60% rise implies a ~$674 threshold. TSLA (as-quoted) closed 2020 near ~$705 and reached ~$880 by early January 2021, exceeding +60% within weeks and well before the 2021-12-31 deadline.
TSLA set its 2021 all-time high around Nov 4, 2021 (intraday ~$1,243 as-quoted; ~$414.50 split-adjusted vs ~$140 split-adjusted for the 2020-11-09 close) — roughly a 3x rise, far above the 60% bar. The 60% relative threshold is scale-invariant, so the 2022 stock split does not affect the comparison.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Tesla's share price will rise at least 60% from its early-N…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-11-09
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources