Full record
HitmarketsTesla's share price will reach $500 by December 31, 2020
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“i believe that by the end of this year the share price of tesla will go to 500”
Tesla's share price will reach $500 by December 31, 2020
- Made on
- 2020-11-09
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2020-11-24
TSLA's share price reaches or exceeds $500 (as quoted at the time) at any point on or before 2020-12-31
Criterion specifies '$500 as quoted at the time' i.e. post-5:1-split (Aug 2020) pricing; the later 3:1 split (Aug 2022) does not affect the as-quoted 2020 figure. Threshold clearly met on 2020-11-24.
Sources
Tesla Drops Major News About China (Price Spike Expected)
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
On Nov 24, 2020, TSLA's share price (as quoted then, reflecting only the Aug-2020 5:1 split) passed $500 for the first time, crossing intraday to ~$527 and closing ~$555; this is the first time the criterion's $500 threshold was met, before the 2020-12-31 deadline.
CNBC/CNN reporting dated Nov 24, 2020 corroborates Tesla topping a $500B market cap that day as shares surpassed ~$527 per share (as-quoted), confirming the $500/share level was reached well before year-end (TSLA remained above $500 as-quoted, closing 2020 near ~$705).
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Tesla's share price will reach $500 by December 31, 2020- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-11-09
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources