Full record
HitmarketsTesla's share price will reach $800–$900 (post-split adjusted) within 24 months
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“I think within 24 months, that share is going to be $800 to $900 after the split”
Tesla's share price will reach $800–$900 (post-split adjusted) within 24 months
- Made on
- 2020-09-23
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-01-07
TSLA share price (post-Aug-2020 5:1-split basis) reaches $800–$900 at any point on or before 2022-09-23
Basis is decisive here. On the fully-split-adjusted basis, Tesla peaked at only ~$414.50, which would NOT touch $800–$900; but the written criterion specifies the post-Aug-2020 5:1-split basis (the prices at which TSLA traded during Sept 2020–Sept 2022, before the Aug 25 2022 3:1 split). On that basis Tesla first reached the $800–$900 band in early January 2021 and peaked at ~$1,243 on 2021-11-04, well inside the deadline. Criterion ('reaches $800–$900 at any point on or before 2022-09-23') satisfied. resolved_on set to the first date the band was entered (~2021-01-07); exact intraday first-touch not pinned to the day but the band was clearly reached in the first week of Jan 2021.
Sources
7 Reasons why this Tesla Battery Day was a Massive Game Changer
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
On the criterion's stated basis (post-Aug-2020 5:1 split, before the Aug 2022 3:1 split — i.e. how TSLA actually traded in the record window), Tesla entered the $800–$900 band in early January 2021. It closed ~$816 on 2021-01-07 and ~$880 on 2021-01-08 on that basis, then rose far above the band.
Tesla's all-time-high intraday of $414.50 (2021-11-04) is quoted on the FULLY split-adjusted basis (both the 2020 5:1 and 2022 3:1 splits). Multiplying back out the later 3:1 split, that equals ~$1,243 on the record's post-Aug-2020-only basis, confirming the $800–$900 band was crossed and exceeded within the 24-month window.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Tesla's share price will reach $800–$900 (post-split adjust…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-09-23
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources