Full record
MissmarketsFord will exhaust its viability and face bankruptcy within about two years
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Missmarkets“i think ford has about two years of survivability”
Ford will exhaust its viability and face bankruptcy within about two years
- Made on
- 2020-09-26
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Effect on score
- +0.62
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-09-26
Ford Motor Co files for bankruptcy or ceases as a going concern on or before 2022-09-26
Criterion is a negative event ('files for bankruptcy or ceases as a going concern on or before 2022-09-26') that did not occur; resolution date = deadline. Ford never filed Chapter 11 and remained a solvent going concern. Criterion NOT met (prediction failed) — outcome value assignment deferred to scoring stage.
Sources
Why Ford May Be Going Bankrupt
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Ford Motor Company did not file for bankruptcy and did not cease as a going concern by the 2022-09-26 deadline. Ford is famously the only major U.S. automaker never to have filed for bankruptcy (it declined a Chapter 11 filing even during the 2008–09 crisis, when GM and Chrysler did file). It remained an operating, publicly listed going concern throughout 2020–2022.
Ford was profitable and operating normally through this period (reporting full-year net income for FY2021), with no bankruptcy petition on record for the corporation.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+0.62- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 4 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Ford will exhaust its viability and face bankruptcy within…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-09-26
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources