Full record
HitmarketsThe stock market will finish April 2026 as an up month, led by a recovery in software, Mag 7, and crypto.
A scored prediction by Tom Lee, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“The things like software, the Mag 7, and the crypto all had early weakness. They're all probably in the final stages or have already bottomed. And I think that helps lead us up to an up April.”
The stock market will finish April 2026 as an up month, led by a recovery in software, Mag 7, and crypto.
- Made on
- 2026-03-02
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.51
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2026-04-30
The S&P 500's close on 2026-04-30 is higher than its close on 2026-03-31 (positive monthly return).
Criterion is strictly the positive monthly return: SPX close 2026-04-30 (7,209.01) > close 2026-03-31 (6,528.52). April was a strongly POSITIVE month. The claim's secondary color ('led by a recovery in software, Mag 7, and crypto') is not part of the written resolution criterion; the up-month condition is met by the index data. No outcome/score assigned.
Sources
Tom Lee Says the Selloff Is Almost Over
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
S&P 500 close 2026-03-31 = 6,528.52; close 2026-04-30 = 7,209.01 — a monthly gain of ~10.4% (CBOE SPX daily data via Interactive Brokers).
Independent coverage: April 2026 was the S&P 500's best month in over five years (~+10%), rebounding to a new all-time high as US-Iran tensions eased toward a ceasefire.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+1.51- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The stock market will finish April 2026 as an up month, led…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 5, 2026
- Made on
- 2026-03-02
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources