The S&P 500 closes 2025 at approximately 7,000, completing a third straight year of roughly 20% gains.

What counted as right

Status

resolved

Settled on

2025-12-31

The S&P 500's final close of 2025 (session of 2025-12-31) falls within 2% of 7,000, i.e. between 6,860 and 7,140. 'Or so' is operationalized as a plus or minus 2% band around the stated level.

Same underlying fact as tom-lee-202512-sp500-7000-2025-close (near-duplicate record, made one day later); flagging for the dedupe stage, though dedupe is not this stage's job. NARROW MISS on the written criterion: band 7,000 +/- 2% = [6,860.00, 7,140.00]; actual final close 6,845.50 is 14.50 points below the lower bound, i.e. 2.207% below 7,000 against a 2.000% allowance — outside by 0.21 percentage points. Verified against two independent sources agreeing to the cent because the margin is thin. Separately, note that this record's claim_canonical carries a SECOND clause ('completing a third straight year of roughly 20% gains') that the written criterion does not test — the criterion tests only the level band. On the untested clause the record would also fail: 2025 delivered +16.39% price return, not ~20%. That clause is therefore not decision-relevant under the criterion as written, but it points the same direction, so the two do not conflict. No conflicting evidence found.

Sources

• Tom Lee Claims S&P 500 Will Hit 7,700 by 2026, Says Ethereum Will Exceed $12,000

  CCN via Yahoo Finance · 2025-12-12

  Source