Full record
MisscryptoEthereum reaches $7,000 to $9,000 in the first half of 2026.
A scored prediction by Tom Lee, made on .
Scored prediction
Misscrypto“I think Ethereum, which is around 3,000, can easily get to 9,000, 7,000 uh in early 2026”
Ethereum reaches $7,000 to $9,000 in the first half of 2026.
- Made on
- 2025-12-26
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +0.46
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2026-06-30
ETH/USD spot trades at or above $7,000 at any point between 2025-12-26 and 2026-06-30. The lower bound of the stated $7,000 to $9,000 range is the test.
Unambiguous. The criterion tests the lower bound of the stated $7,000-$9,000 range, and ETH never came close: window high $3,405.03 on 2026-01-14 is 48.6% of the $7,000 test level. ETH declined sharply across the first half of 2026: close $2,925.43 on 2025-12-26 to $1,569.45 on 2026-06-30, with a minimum low of $1,505 on 2026-06-06. Monthly maximum highs were 2025-12 $3,054.70, 2026-01 $3,405.03, 2026-02 $2,473.86, 2026-03 $2,386.23, 2026-04 $2,466.50, 2026-05 $2,424.00, 2026-06 $2,018.48 — a monotone-ish decline after the January peak, so the level was never in reach at any point in the window. Coverage is complete (187 daily bars for a 187-calendar-day window on both exchanges), so the 'at any point' test fails on continuous data. Two mutually independent major exchanges agree. No conflicting evidence found.
Sources
Tom Lee's 2026 Crypto Prediction
Fundstrat (YouTube) ·
Evidence of what happened
Coinbase Exchange ETH-USD daily candles for the full window 2025-12-26 to 2026-06-30: 187 daily bars with zero missing calendar days. Maximum intraday HIGH over the entire window was $3,405.03 on 2026-01-14 — below half the $7,000 lower bound of the stated range.
Independent confirmation from Kraken ETH/USD daily OHLC over the identical window: 187 bars, maximum intraday high $3,402.64, also on 2026-01-14 — agrees with Coinbase to within 0.07%. Threshold not reached on either major exchange.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+0.46- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Ethereum reaches $7,000 to $9,000 in the first half of 2026.- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 5, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-12-26
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources