Full record
MisscryptoBitcoin reaches $250,000 within a few months of December 2025 (by 2026-03-12).
A scored prediction by Tom Lee, made on .
Scored prediction
Misscrypto“I think Bitcoin is going to get to $250,000 within a few months”
Bitcoin reaches $250,000 within a few months of December 2025 (by 2026-03-12).
- Made on
- 2025-12-12
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +0.46
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2026-03-12
BTC/USD spot on a major exchange composite (e.g. Coinbase, Binance) trades at or above $250,000 at any point between 2025-12-12 and 2026-03-12. A single print at or above the level inside the window resolves true; the level need not hold.
Unambiguous. BTC not only failed to reach $250,000, it fell substantially over the window: close $90,278 on 2025-12-12 to $70,531.56 on 2026-03-12, with a minimum low of $60,001 on 2026-02-06. The window high of ~$97.9-98.0k on 2026-01-14 is the single best case for the claim and falls roughly $152,000 short. Coverage is complete — 91 daily bars for a 91-calendar-day window on both exchanges, so no gap could conceal a qualifying print, and the criterion's 'single print at or above the level' test therefore fails on continuous data rather than on sampling. Two mutually independent major exchanges agree. No conflicting evidence found.
Sources
Tom Lee Claims S&P 500 Will Hit 7,700 by 2026, Says Ethereum Will Exceed $12,000
CCN via Yahoo Finance ·
Evidence of what happened
Coinbase Exchange BTC-USD daily candles for the full window 2025-12-12 to 2026-03-12: 91 daily bars with zero missing calendar days. Maximum intraday HIGH over the entire window was $97,963.62 on 2026-01-14. The $250,000 level was never approached — the peak was 39.2% of the threshold.
Independent confirmation from Kraken XBT/USD daily OHLC over the identical window: 91 bars, maximum intraday high $97,899.70, also on 2026-01-14 — agrees with Coinbase to within 0.07%. Threshold not reached on either major exchange.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+0.46- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin reaches $250,000 within a few months of December 20…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 5, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-12-12
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources