Full record

Misscrypto

Ether reaches at least $7,000 (his stated $7,000 to $9,000 range) by 2026-01-31.

A scored prediction by Tom Lee, made on .

PodcastQuoted directly by a news outletcryptomarkets

Scored prediction

Misscrypto

Yeah, there is a downside, maybe, to $2,500, but that's minor compared to the upside of trying to discount a super cycle. We think ETH can be $7,000–$9,000 by the end of January

Ether reaches at least $7,000 (his stated $7,000 to $9,000 range) by 2026-01-31.

Made on
2025-11-24
Outcome
Miss
Importance
3 / 5
Effect on score
+0.46

What counted as right

Status
resolved
Settled on
2026-01-31

Spot ETH/USD reaches $7,000 or higher, the low end of the stated $7,000 to $9,000 range taken as the committed level, at any point on or before 2026-01-31. A window high below $7,000 is a miss.

Unambiguous miss. The committed level was $7,000 (low end of the stated $7,000-$9,000 range) and the window high was roughly $3,477, meaning ETH would have needed to slightly more than double from its actual peak. It never got within 50% of the target. Peak occurred on 2025-12-10, after which ETH drifted lower and then fell hard in the last days of January 2026, closing the deadline day around $2,449 - below where it started the window. No conflicting evidence found; Coinbase and Kraken agree. Verification note: an initial pass computed window maxima against locally cached candle files that had been overwritten with different date ranges, which silently produced a wrong peak. All figures here come from a re-fetch that asserts the returned date range matches the requested window and checks for missing days, then cross-checks against a second exchange.

Sources

  • Tom Lee: ETH to HIT $9k by January (The Tokenization "Super Cycle" Begins)

    Apple Podcasts / Wealthion ·

    Source

  • Tom Lee: ETH to HIT $9k by January (The Tokenization Super Cycle Begins)

    Wealthion ·

    Source

  • Tokenization Super Cycle Will Drive Ethereum Growth, Says Fundstrat Founder

    Coin Edition ·

    Source

Evidence of what happened

  • Coinbase Exchange ETH-USD daily candles across the full window 2025-11-24 to 2026-01-31 (69 calendar days, no gaps): the highest intraday print was $3,477.44 on 2025-12-10. ETH never traded above $3,477 at any point in the window, against the $7,000 low end of the stated range. ETH closed the deadline day 2026-01-31 at $2,449.36 after a sharp late-January selloff.

    Evidence

  • Independent cross-check on Kraken (XETHZUSD daily OHLC): window maximum $3,448.32, also on 2025-12-10. Two unaffiliated exchanges agree on both the peak date and the level to within normal cross-venue spread.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Effect on the score

+0.46
How sure they sounded
65%
Outcome
Miss
Importance
3 / 5

This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Where this came from

Ether reaches at least $7,000 (his stated $7,000 to $9,000…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
August 5, 2026
Made on
2025-11-24

How this profile was built

  1. Scored by independent judges

  2. Predictions gathered and sourced

  3. Independently verified against sources

Every public score traces back to sourced prediction records.

Avow is an independent project. The pundits scored here are not affiliated with Avow and do not endorse it. Names and likenesses are used for identification and commentary.

Evidence firstMethodologyPrivacy