Full record
HitmarketsThe S&P 500 reaches 6,900 by December 31, 2025
A scored prediction by Tom Lee, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“I think the S&P gets us to 6900 possibly higher”
The S&P 500 reaches 6,900 by December 31, 2025
- Made on
- 2025-10-22
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2025-12-11
The S&P 500 index closes at or above 6,900 at some point on or before 2025-12-31
Unambiguous. First close >=6,900 was 6,901.00 on 2025-12-11, well inside the deadline; the index closed above 6,900 repeatedly through year-end (record 6,932.05 on 2025-12-24). No conflicting evidence. (Attempted to pull the SPX index series from Interactive Brokers as a primary cross-check but the IND price-history endpoint returned a transient error; multiple independent public sources agree, so resolution is not affected.)
Sources
Tom Lee: Why the Bull Market Isn't Over Yet | 2025 Market Outlook
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Wikipedia 'Closing milestones of the S&P 500' — the S&P 500 first closed at or above 6,900 on 2025-12-11 at a closing value of 6,901.00, 20 days before the 2025-12-31 deadline. Criterion ('closes at or above 6,900 at some point on or before 2025-12-31') is satisfied.
Yahoo Finance live markets coverage — 'S&P 500 climbs above 6,900 for first time' (mid-December 2025), confirming the index crossed and closed above the 6,900 level.
NYSE Content Advisory (via PR Newswire) — 'S&P 500 Powers to Record Close Above 6,900'; index set a record close of 6,932.05 on 2025-12-24, further confirming multiple closes >=6,900 before year-end.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The S&P 500 reaches 6,900 by December 31, 2025- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 5, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-10-22
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources