Full record
HitmarketsS&P 500 Q2 2025 earnings will show double-digit year-over-year growth when the quarter is fully reported
A scored prediction by Tom Lee, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“we're tracking for double digit earnings growth for um Q2”
S&P 500 Q2 2025 earnings will show double-digit year-over-year growth when the quarter is fully reported
- Made on
- 2025-07-22
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.91
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2025-08-31
S&P 500 aggregate Q2 2025 year-over-year EPS growth is ≥10% (double digit) as finally reported at the close of Q2 earnings season.
Criterion (≥10% aggregate YoY EPS growth) is met: independent FactSet blended figure (~11.8%) and aggregate actuals (~11.6%, ~12% blended) both show clear double-digit growth. Double-digit status was already established once >90% of companies had reported (early Aug) and held through the close of Q2 earnings season, so resolution is not marginal. resolved_on set to the record deadline (2025-08-31), by which the season was effectively complete; the final-tally FactSet Earnings Insight publishes in early-mid September but does not change the double-digit outcome.
Sources
Fundstrat's Tom Lee: 2Q25 Earnings Are Strong—Markets Still Underestimating Growth
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
FactSet Earnings Insight (Aug 8, 2025): with ~90% of S&P 500 companies reported, the blended Q2 2025 year-over-year earnings growth rate was ~11.8%, marking the third consecutive quarter of double-digit earnings growth for the index — well above the ≥10% criterion.
Zacks/aggregate read on the 457 S&P 500 companies reported: total Q2 2025 earnings up 11.6% YoY on actuals, with a ~12.0% blended growth rate combining actuals plus estimates for the remaining companies. Nine of eleven sectors posted YoY earnings growth. Confirms final Q2 season growth in double digits (~11.6%–12%).
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+1.91- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
S&P 500 Q2 2025 earnings will show double-digit year-over-y…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 5, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-07-22
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources