Full record
HitmarketsThe S&P 500 reaches 6,600 by 2025-12-31.
A scored prediction by Tom Lee, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“our full year target was 6,600. So I think that that's still a reasonable expectation. You never changed that. We haven't changed it. Never did. […] now that I look at 2026, I think businesses are in better shape now than they were in February. So I think making 6,600 actually seems more achievable today than it did in February.”
The S&P 500 reaches 6,600 by 2025-12-31.
- Made on
- 2025-06-02
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2025-09-15
Resolves TRUE if the S&P 500 closes at or above 6,600 on at least one US trading day on or before 2025-12-31, per official S&P Dow Jones Indices closing levels. Resolves FALSE if the index never records a close at or above 6,600 inside that window.
Criterion specifies official S&P Dow Jones Indices closing levels; the FRED SP500 series is sourced from S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and is corroborated to the cent by two independent records. Threshold first met about 3.5 months after the 2025-06-02 claim and roughly 3.5 months before the deadline. No conflicting evidence found. No outcome value (o) assigned.
Sources
Making 6,600 on the S&P seems more achievable today than it did in February: Fundstrat's Tom Lee
CNBC Television (YouTube) ·
Tom Lee Reiterates 6,600 S&P 500 Price Target on CNBC, Says a New Bull Market is Here
Fundstrat Direct ·
S&P 500 Could Still Hit 6,600 By Year End, Tom Lee Says on CNBC
Fundstrat Direct ·
S&P 500 Could Continue This Record Run to 6,600, Tom Lee Says on CNBC
Fundstrat Direct ·
Tom Lee Predicts the S&P 500 Will Soar 10% in 2025. Here's the Best Way to Benefit.
The Motley Fool via Yahoo Finance ·
Watch CNBC's full interview with Fundstrat co-founder Tom Lee
CNBC ·
Tom Lee, who nailed 2024's rally, is out with his 2025 outlook. What he sees next
CNBC ·
Tom Lee sees S&P 500 hitting 7,700 in 2026, extending bull market to fourth year
CNBC ·
Tom Lee (Fundstrat): S&P 500 Year-End Target Track Record
AnaChart ·
Evidence of what happened
Official S&P 500 daily closing levels (S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC data via FRED): the first close at or above 6,600 was 6,615.28 on 2025-09-15. The threshold was not a one-off — the index recorded 74 closes at or above 6,600 during calendar 2025, and the highest close of the year was 6,932.05 on 2025-12-24, both inside the criterion window ending 2025-12-31.
Independent milestone record for S&P 500 closing levels lists the 6,600 milestone as 6,615.28 on September 15, 2025, matching the official series exactly, and a further 6,900 milestone at 6,901.00 on December 11, 2025.
Yahoo Finance ^GSPC daily OHLC independently reproduces the same first crossing: 2025-09-15 close 6,615.28 (intraday high 6,619.62, intraday low 6,602.07 — the entire session traded above 6,600).
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The S&P 500 reaches 6,600 by 2025-12-31.- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 5, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-06-02
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources