Full record
HitmarketsThe S&P 500 will make a new all-time high in the near term.
A scored prediction by Tom Lee, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“I do think we're close to to making an all-time high and I think there's plenty of fuel for that.”
The S&P 500 will make a new all-time high in the near term.
- Made on
- 2025-05-22
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2025-06-27
The S&P 500 registers a new all-time closing (or intraday) high above its prior record at any point between 2025-05-22 and 2026-05-22.
Criterion (new all-time closing OR intraday high above prior record between 2025-05-22 and 2026-05-22) met unambiguously; first qualifying record close 2025-06-27. No conflicting evidence. resolved_on set to the first date the criterion was satisfied.
Sources
Tom Lee: 4 reasons an all-time high could be approaching
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
S&P 500 closed at a new all-time record high of 6,173.07 on 2025-06-27, its first record close since February and above the prior 6,144.15 record set 2025-02-19 — inside the 2025-05-22 to 2026-05-22 window.
S&P 500 closed June 2025 at a record high (6,204.95 on 2025-06-30) after rallying 5% in the month, confirming multiple new all-time highs within the window.
Closing-milestones record shows the pre-window record close was 6,144.15 (2025-02-19); the June 27 and June 30 2025 closes exceeded it, with dozens of further record closes through late 2025 (e.g. 6,932.05 on 2025-12-24).
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The S&P 500 will make a new all-time high in the near term.- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 5, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-05-22
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources