Full record
HitmarketsMost of the MAG7 stocks (Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Tesla) reach new all-time highs by fall 2025
A scored prediction by Tom Lee, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“I still think most of these MAG7 stocks get back to new all-time highs by the fall”
Most of the MAG7 stocks (Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Tesla) reach new all-time highs by fall 2025
- Made on
- 2025-05-02
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2025-09-19
A majority (≥4 of 7) of MAG7 stocks (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, GOOGL, AMZN, META, TSLA) close at a new all-time high at some point on or before 2025-09-30
Criterion (≥4 of 7 MAG7 close at a new all-time high on/before 2025-09-30) is MET: MSFT (Jun 2025), NVDA (Jul 31 2025), META (Jul 2025), GOOGL (Sep 2025) = exactly 4 confirmed. AMZN (Oct 31), TSLA (Dec), AAPL did not qualify within the deadline. resolved_on = 2025-09-19, the date GOOGL's ATH pushed the count to the majority threshold. No outcome value assigned per stage boundary.
Sources
Is The Recent Market Rally Losing Steam?
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Microsoft (MSFT) hit a new all-time high in June 2025, becoming the only company then valued above $3.5T market cap.
Nvidia (NVDA) reached a record high of $183.30 on 2025-07-31; Meta (META) also rose >5% to record territory the same session on strong earnings.
Alphabet (GOOGL) hit new all-time highs across September 2025 — $242.13 on 9/11 and $256.70 by 9/19 — crossing a $3T market cap. This is the 4th distinct MAG7 name at a new ATH, satisfying the ≥4-of-7 threshold on/before 2025-09-30.
Context on the other three (did NOT set new ATHs by the 2025-09-30 deadline): Amazon's record came 2025-10-31; Tesla did not close at a new ATH until December 2025 (first time since Dec 2024); Apple lagged its Dec 2024 record through Q3 2025. These are irrelevant to the outcome since ≥4 was already met.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Most of the MAG7 stocks (Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Alphabet…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 5, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-05-02
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources