Full record
MisscryptoBitcoin trades above $150,000 at some point during 2025.
A scored prediction by Tom Lee, made on .
Scored prediction
Misscrypto“do better than $150,000 this year”
Bitcoin trades above $150,000 at some point during 2025.
- Made on
- 2025-03-03
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +0.46
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2025-12-31
Bitcoin (BTC/USD spot on major exchanges) trades above $150,000 at any point between 2025-03-03 and 2025-12-31.
The criterion names 'BTC/USD spot on major exchanges,' so I checked two mutually independent major exchanges rather than a single venue or an aggregated index. They agree on both the peak level (about $126.3k) and the peak date (2025-10-06), and both show zero sessions above $150,000 anywhere in the window. There is no conflicting evidence and the margin is wide — the 2025 high was about 15.8% below the $150,000 trigger — so the result is not sensitive to venue choice, to wick-versus-close treatment, or to the small cross-exchange basis. resolved_on is 2025-12-31, the close of the criterion window, since a 'trades above X at any point' criterion can only become final when the window expires. The Bitstamp pull incidentally extended to 2026-01-06 and still showed no session above $150,000, which rules out a boundary artifact right at the year end.
Sources
Expect bitcoin to do better than $150,000 this year, says Fundstrat's Tom Lee
CNBC Television (YouTube) ·
Expect bitcoin to do better than $150,000 this year, says Fundstrat's Tom Lee
CNBC ·
Bitcoin 'Will Do Better Than' $150,000 This Year: Fundstrat's Tom Lee
The Crypto Basic ·
Tom Lee Predicts Bitcoin Could Surpass $150K in 2025
The Crypto Times ·
Evidence of what happened
Coinbase Exchange public market-data API, BTC-USD daily candles covering the full criterion window 2025-03-03 through 2025-12-31 (fetched in two contiguous requests). Maximum intraday high across the entire window: $126,296 on 2025-10-06. Number of sessions whose high exceeded $150,000: zero. Bitcoin therefore never traded above $150,000 on Coinbase at any point in the window; the peak fell 15.8% short of the threshold.
Independent confirmation from a second major exchange: Bitstamp public OHLC API, BTC/USD daily candles from 2025-03-03 onward. Maximum intraday high: $126,272.00, also on 2025-10-06 — the same peak date, within $24 (0.02%) of the Coinbase figure. Sessions with a high above $150,000: zero.
Corrections
- Quote sourcing: The claimed fetched primary (caption transcript SBfr3TOrp4Y) is not on disk and the watch page yields no caption text, so fetched_primary is unsubstantiated. The claim is carried as a first-person direct quote by CNBC's own clip — primary-equivalent and scoreable.
- Quote wording: The ASR full sentence cannot be verified against any retrievable source; the exact span reputable outlets carry in quotation marks attributed to Lee is 'do better than $150,000 this year'.
Effect on the score
+0.46- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin trades above $150,000 at some point during 2025.- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 5, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-03-03
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources