Full record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin trades well above $100,000 before the end of 2024.

A scored prediction by Tom Lee, made on .

InterviewQuoted directly by a news outletcryptomarkets

Scored prediction

Hitcrypto

I'm still confident bitcoin is going to close much higher before year-end — well above $100,000 before year-end. It's just a matter of time.

Bitcoin trades well above $100,000 before the end of 2024.

Made on
2024-12-02
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Effect on score
+2.94

What counted as right

Status
resolved
Settled on
2024-12-05

Bitcoin (BTC/USD spot, major-exchange consensus price) trades at or above $100,000 at any point on or before 2024-12-31.

Criterion ('trades at or above $100,000 at any point on or before 2024-12-31') was satisfied on 2024-12-05, three days after the claim was made on 2024-12-02, and the level was exceeded repeatedly through mid-December. resolved_on is set to the date the criterion condition was first met rather than the deadline. The canonical claim's qualifier 'well above' is also comfortably met on the written criterion's terms: the in-window peak of 108,268.45 (2024-12-17) is ~8.3% above $100,000, and BTC posted several closes above $100k. No outcome value assigned - scoring is a later stage. Evidence is major-exchange consensus spot data (Yahoo's BTC-USD composite) plus an independent aggregator, matching the criterion's 'major-exchange consensus price' basis. No conflicting evidence found.

Sources

  • Fundstrat's Tom Lee says bitcoin can hit 'well above' $100,000 before year-end

    CNBC ·

    Source

  • Tom Lee says bitcoin could hit six figures before year-end

    CNBC ·

    Source

  • Tom Lee Predicts S&P 500 To Hit 6,300, Bitcoin To Surpass $100K By Year End

    Benzinga ·

    Source

  • Fundstrat's Tom Lee is Confident Bitcoin Will Surpass $100,000 by Year End

    The Crypto Basic ·

    Source

Evidence of what happened

  • Yahoo Finance daily OHLC for BTC-USD, 2024-11-30 through 2024-12-31, retrieved via the chart API. Bitcoin's daily high first reached/exceeded US$100,000 on 2024-12-05 (high 103,900.47; prior day 2024-12-04 high was 99,207.33). The highest print inside the criterion window was 108,268.45 on 2024-12-17, and BTC closed above $100,000 on multiple days (e.g. 101,236.02 on 2024-12-08; 106,140.60 on 2024-12-17).

    Evidence

  • CoinGecko bitcoin page confirms bitcoin's all-time-high trajectory and that the $100k level was cleared in this era; page lists ATH $126,080 on 2025-10-06, i.e. far above $100,000, confirming the level was decisively passed and held well beyond the 2024 window.

    Evidence

  • Wikipedia 'History of bitcoin' timeline records that bitcoin reached $100,000 on December 5, 2024 - an independent corroboration of the exchange-data crossing date.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Effect on the score

+2.94
How sure they sounded
90%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5

This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Where this came from

Bitcoin trades well above $100,000 before the end of 2024.
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
August 5, 2026
Made on
2024-12-02

How this profile was built

  1. Scored by independent judges

  2. Predictions gathered and sourced

  3. Independently verified against sources

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