Full record
HitmarketsUS equities will rise over the near term following early November 2024 (positive seasonality and post-election rally follow through to the upside through the end of November 2024)
A scored prediction by Tom Lee, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“this this season seasonality actually continues into November”
US equities will rise over the near term following early November 2024 (positive seasonality and post-election rally follow through to the upside through the end of November 2024)
- Made on
- 2024-11-02
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.86
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-11-29
The S&P 500 closes higher at the end of November 2024 than at the statement date in early November 2024 (i.e., the index posts a net gain over the November 2024 window).
Statement made 2024-11-02 (a Saturday); nearest prior trading close is Nov 1, 2024 at 5,728.80. End-of-November close Nov 29, 2024 = 6,032.38, a net gain of roughly +5.3% from the Nov 1 anchor (and +5.7% for the calendar month). Criterion (S&P 500 higher at end of November than at early-November statement date) is unambiguously met; no conflicting credible evidence. Exact Nov 1 close (5,728.80) is standard public index data; primary index-level record is S&P Dow Jones Indices.
Sources
Positive Seasonality Continues? 🔥📈
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
S&P Global (S&P Dow Jones Indices) reports the S&P 500 rose 5.7% in November 2024 — its best month of the year — closing at a record 6,032.38 on Nov 29, 2024, the final trading day of the month. A net gain over the November 2024 window satisfies the criterion.
Contemporaneous market coverage confirms the S&P 500 finished November 2024 at an all-time high of 6,032.38 on Nov 29 after a post-election rally, capping the strongest monthly gain of the year — consistent with an index level well above its early-November starting point (Nov 1, 2024 close 5,728.80).
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.86- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
US equities will rise over the near term following early No…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 5, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-11-02
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources