Full record
HitmarketsThe S&P 500 will continue rising (a bullish continuation move) through mid-October 2024
A scored prediction by Tom Lee, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarketsโreally between now and and mid October like the 17th should be very positiveโ
The S&P 500 will continue rising (a bullish continuation move) through mid-October 2024
- Made on
- 2024-09-27
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.76
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-10-17
The S&P 500 closes higher on/around Oct 17 2024 than at the Sept 27 2024 close (net positive move) and/or makes higher highs into mid-October.
Criterion: S&P closes higher on/around Oct 17 2024 than at the Sept 27 close and/or makes higher highs into mid-October. Both conditions are satisfied โ Oct 17 close (5,841.47) > Sept 27 close (5,738.17), and Oct 17 was a fresh record high. Bullish continuation confirmed.
Sources
A True Bullish Sentiment? ๐ค๐
YouTube ยท
Evidence of what happened
Baseline: S&P 500 closed at 5,738.17 on Sept 27, 2024.
Target date: S&P 500 closed at 5,841.47 on Oct 17, 2024 โ up ~103 points (+1.8%) versus the Sept 27 close, a net positive move.
Oct 17, 2024 was itself a record close for the S&P 500, capping the year's longest winning streak โ i.e. the index made higher highs into mid-October.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.76- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The S&P 500 will continue rising (a bullish continuation moโฆ- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 5, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-09-27
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources