Full record
HitmarketsThe SEC will approve options trading on additional (non-IBIT) Bitcoin ETFs shortly
A scored prediction by Tom Lee, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“we'll probably see approvals on the other Bitcoin ETFs in short order”
The SEC will approve options trading on additional (non-IBIT) Bitcoin ETFs shortly
- Made on
- 2024-09-28
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.84
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-10-18
The SEC/exchanges receive approval to list options on at least one Bitcoin ETF other than BlackRock's IBIT within the window.
Criterion: the SEC/exchanges receive approval to list options on at least one Bitcoin ETF other than IBIT within the window (made 2024-09-28, deadline 2024-12-28). Satisfied on 2024-10-18, when the SEC approved options-listing rule changes for at least five non-IBIT bitcoin ETFs (GBTC, Grayscale Mini, BITB, FBTC, ARKB) — well inside the window. Note this is the SEC rule-change/listing approval; actual options trading launch required subsequent OCC/CFTC steps, but the written criterion is about approval to list, which was granted.
Sources
The Big Hurdle?👀😱
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
On Oct 18, 2024 the SEC approved exchange rule changes permitting the listing and trading of options on spot Bitcoin ETFs other than IBIT: NYSE American won approval for options on Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), the Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust, and the Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB); Cboe won approval for options on the Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) and the ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB).
This followed Nasdaq's earlier (late-September 2024) approval for options on BlackRock's IBIT, confirming the Oct 18 action specifically covers the additional, non-IBIT bitcoin ETFs named in the criterion.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+1.84- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The SEC will approve options trading on additional (non-IBI…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 5, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-09-28
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources