Full record
75% rightmarketsThe S&P 500 will rise to roughly 5,700–5,750 within the next couple of weeks (by ~2024-07-19).
A scored prediction by Tom Lee, made on .
Scored prediction
75% rightmarkets“I sense that we likely can get up to levels potentially up to 5700 maybe 5750 which would be you know nice start to a little bit of an advance over the next couple weeks”
The S&P 500 will rise to roughly 5,700–5,750 within the next couple of weeks (by ~2024-07-19).
- Made on
- 2024-07-05
- Outcome
- 75% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.98
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-07-19
The S&P 500 reaches the 5,700–5,750 range at any point by approximately 2024-07-19.
Criterion (S&P 500 reaches 5,700–5,750 at any point by ~2024-07-19) is cleanly resolvable: the highest print in the window was 5,669.67 (intraday, 2024-07-16), short of the range floor, and the index was falling by the deadline. No conflicting evidence. Outcome value not assigned.
Sources
A Bullish Time on Technology? 🐂📈
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
The S&P 500's peak in the window was an intraday all-time high of 5,669.67 on 2024-07-16; it then declined into 2024-07-19. The index never reached the 5,700–5,750 range at any point by ~2024-07-19 — the July 2024 high fell roughly 30 points short of the bottom of the specified range, and 5,670-area highs were not exceeded again until 2024-09-17.
S&P 500 historical price data corroborating that the index peaked ~5,667 (close) / 5,669.67 (intraday) on 2024-07-16 and fell over the following sessions, closing around 5,505 on 2024-07-19 — well below the 5,700–5,750 target.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.98- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- 75% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The S&P 500 will rise to roughly 5,700–5,750 within the nex…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 5, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-07-05
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources