Full record

Hiteconomy

June 2024 CPI will show softer inflation than the prior month.

A scored prediction by Tom Lee, made on .

VideoQuote from the original sourceeconomy

Scored prediction

Hiteconomy

we should see softer CP in June

June 2024 CPI will show softer inflation than the prior month.

Made on
2024-06-21
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Effect on score
+1.84

What counted as right

Status
resolved
Settled on
2024-07-11

The June 2024 CPI report (released in July 2024) shows a lower monthly/annual inflation reading than the prior month's print.

Criterion (June CPI report shows a lower monthly/annual reading than the prior month) is directly addressed by the primary BLS release. Both dimensions moved lower: MoM -0.1% vs May 0.0%; YoY 3.0% vs May 3.3%. No conflicting evidence. Outcome value not assigned (scoring is a later stage).

Sources

  • A Softer CPI in June? 🤔📊

    YouTube ·

    Source

Evidence of what happened

  • BLS CPI release for June 2024 (published 2024-07-11): all-items index fell 0.1% MoM (seasonally adjusted), the first monthly decline since 2020, versus 0.0% (flat) in May. The 12-month rate eased to 3.0% from 3.3% in May. Both the monthly and annual readings were softer than the prior month's print.

    EvidenceArchive

  • CNBC coverage (2024-07-11) confirming headline CPI -0.1% MoM and 3.0% YoY vs 3.3% prior, characterizing it as broadly softer inflation driven by a gasoline decline.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Effect on the score

+1.84
How sure they sounded
80%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5

This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Where this came from

June 2024 CPI will show softer inflation than the prior mon…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
August 5, 2026
Made on
2024-06-21

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