Full record
HitmarketsThe broad US stock market (S&P 500) will post a positive return in June 2024
A scored prediction by Tom Lee, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“there's a high probability June is a positive month based on just uh calendar and seasonals and I'll explain in a second I mean the probability is close to 100%”
The broad US stock market (S&P 500) will post a positive return in June 2024
- Made on
- 2024-05-30
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +3
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-06-28
The S&P 500 closes higher at the end of June 2024 (2024-06-28) than at the end of May 2024 (2024-05-31), i.e. a positive calendar-month return.
Deterministic index-level check against the record's exact written criterion. June 28, 2024 was the last trading day of the month (June 29-30 were a weekend). 5460.48 > 5277.51 by 182.97 points (+3.47%). No conflicting evidence.
Sources
What Does June Bring? 👀🗓
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
FRED official daily S&P 500 series: 2024-05-31 close = 5277.51; 2024-06-28 close (last trading day of June) = 5460.48. June calendar-month return = +3.47%, a positive return. Criterion (June-28 close higher than May-31 close) is met.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+3- How sure they sounded
- 99%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The broad US stock market (S&P 500) will post a positive re…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 5, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-05-30
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources