Full record
HiteconomyFavorable (softer-than-expected) US inflation data will be released in the coming weeks
A scored prediction by Tom Lee, made on .
Scored prediction
Hiteconomy“I think we're going to get some favor[able] inflation data points this month.”
Favorable (softer-than-expected) US inflation data will be released in the coming weeks
- Made on
- 2024-05-30
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.51
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-06-12
The next US inflation report (CPI) released within the window prints below (softer than) consensus expectations.
The single CPI release falling inside the 2024-05-30 → 2024-06-30 window was the May-2024 report on 2024-06-12. It printed below consensus on both headline and core, satisfying the 'softer than consensus' criterion. No conflicting evidence.
Sources
What Does June Bring? 👀🗓
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
The next CPI report after the 2024-05-30 statement was the May 2024 CPI, released by the BLS on 2024-06-12. Headline CPI was flat at 0.0% MoM (3.3% YoY) versus Dow Jones consensus of +0.1% MoM / 3.4% YoY; core CPI rose 0.2% MoM / 3.4% YoY versus consensus 0.3% / 3.5%. Both headline and core printed softer than consensus.
Primary source: BLS Consumer Price Index news release for May 2024 (published 2024-06-12) confirming the unchanged (0.0%) monthly all-items index and 3.3% 12-month change.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+1.51- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Favorable (softer-than-expected) US inflation data will be…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 5, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-05-30
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources