Full record
HitmarketsEqual-weight Industrials (RSPN) outperform the equal-weight S&P (RSP) through 2024.
A scored prediction by Tom Lee, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“This now is being resolved by another move to the upside which literally just started in February, so I think this is interesting and certainly a bullish constructive development that certainly makes Industrials one of the top areas that one can favor for 2024.”
Equal-weight Industrials (RSPN) outperform the equal-weight S&P (RSP) through 2024.
- Made on
- 2024-02-09
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.99
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-12-31
Equal-weight Industrials (RSPN) total return exceeds equal-weight S&P (RSP) total return over calendar year 2024.
Criterion is calendar-year-2024 total return, RSPN vs RSP, so resolves at 2024-12-31. Price returns computed from exchange closes (Dec 29 2023 baseline to Dec 31 2024) independently confirm RSPN >> RSP; published total-return figures agree in the same direction, so no conflicting credible evidence. Primary levels from Interactive Brokers exchange price history (no public permalink); Yahoo/stockanalysis performance pages cited as verifiable equivalents. No outcome value assigned or scored per stage separation.
Sources
The Move in Industrials: RSPN vs. RSP
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Industrials ETF (RSPN, ARCA) 2024 return: close $42.89 on 2023-12-29 (last trading day of 2023) to $50.43 on 2024-12-31 = +17.6% price return; published full-year 2024 total return ≈ +17.6%. Source: Interactive Brokers exchange price history.
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP, ARCA) 2024 return: close $157.01 on 2023-12-29 to $176.32 on 2024-12-31 = +12.3% price return; published full-year 2024 total return ≈ +12.8%. Source: Interactive Brokers exchange price history plus published performance data.
Both ETFs are Invesco equal-weight products with comparable ~1.3-1.5% dividend yields, so the ~5 percentage-point outperformance of RSPN over RSP holds on a total-return basis, matching the record's criterion. RSPN (equal-weight Industrials) outperformed RSP (equal-weight S&P 500) over calendar 2024.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.99- How sure they sounded
- 97%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Equal-weight Industrials (RSPN) outperform the equal-weight…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 5, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-02-09
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources