Full record
HitmarketsEquities rally following Jackson Hole, finishing higher one week later (~2023-09-01)
A scored prediction by Tom Lee, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“one week later 86 percent of the time so it looks like it's going to serve as a pivot point for stocks to Rally uh from Jacksonville”
Equities rally following Jackson Hole, finishing higher one week later (~2023-09-01)
- Made on
- 2023-08-22
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.84
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2023-09-01
S&P 500 closes higher on ~2023-09-01 than at its 2023-08-25 close
Criterion met: 4515.77 (Sep 1) > 4405.71 (Aug 25). No o assigned.
Sources
08/22/23 Tom Lee's Macro Minute - August Trends & Timing 📈
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
S&P 500 closed at 4405.71 on 2023-08-25 and at 4515.77 on 2023-09-01 (FRED SP500). The index closed ~2.5% higher one week later, rallying each session in between (4433.31, 4497.63, 4514.87, 4507.66, 4515.77). Criterion (higher close on ~2023-09-01 than 2023-08-25) met.
Corrections
- Date: Title '08/22/23' and 'today is Tuesday August 22nd after the close'; recording predates Aug 23. Explicit deadline (2023-09-01) unchanged.
- certainty verbatim marker: 'decent shot' is not in this record's captured verbatim (it belongs to an earlier sentence); the commitment phrase here is 'it looks like it's going to serve as a pivot point'.
Effect on the score
+1.84- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Equities rally following Jackson Hole, finishing higher one…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 5, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-08-22
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources