Full record

Hiteconomy

The Fed does not raise rates at its September 2023 or November 2023 FOMC meetings

A scored prediction by Tom Lee, made on .

VideoQuote from the original sourceeconomy

Scored prediction

Hiteconomy

we don't expect any hikes in September or November

The Fed does not raise rates at its September 2023 or November 2023 FOMC meetings

Made on
2023-08-28
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Effect on score
+2.76

What counted as right

Status
resolved
Settled on
2023-11-01

The FOMC leaves the funds-rate target unchanged at both the Sept 2023 and Nov 2023 meetings

Criterion met exactly: no rate change at either the Sept 2023 or Nov 2023 FOMC meeting; target held at 5.25%-5.50% at both. No o assigned.

Sources

  • Balancing Hawkish Sentiment with Soft Data Trends for Potential Post-Jackson Hole Opportunities 📈

    YouTube ·

    Source

Evidence of what happened

  • FOMC left the federal funds target range unchanged at 5.25%-5.50% at the September 19-20, 2023 meeting (held after the July hike).

    Evidence

  • FOMC again left the target range unchanged at 5.25%-5.50% at the Oct 31-Nov 1, 2023 meeting (a unanimous hold, the second consecutive pause).

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Effect on the score

+2.76
How sure they sounded
80%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5

This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Where this came from

The Fed does not raise rates at its September 2023 or Novem…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
August 5, 2026
Made on
2023-08-28

How this profile was built

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