Full record
HitmarketsUS stocks (the S&P 500) finish 2020 higher than their 2020-11-06 level.
A scored prediction by Tom Lee, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“Vix collapsing. - bullish Leave bias at the door. Market saying stocks going higher into YE”
US stocks (the S&P 500) finish 2020 higher than their 2020-11-06 level.
- Made on
- 2020-11-06
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.86
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2020-12-31
The S&P 500's 31 December 2020 close is above its 6 November 2020 close.
Cleanest of the five: unconditional, single-variable, and unambiguous. The 31 December 2020 close of 3,756.07 was above the 6 November 2020 close of 3,509.44 by +7.03%, satisfying the criterion as written. Index levels come from the archived full Stooq ^SPX daily history, validated against a contemporaneous CNBC market report for 2020-11-02 and 2020-11-03 and against Wikipedia's closing-milestones record for the 3,756.07 year-end close, with a second-provider SPY total-return series confirming the move independently. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
Evidence of what happened
S&P 500 daily closing history: 2020-11-06 close 3,509.44; 2020-12-31 close 3,756.07. The year-end close was 246.63 points, or +7.03%, above the 6 November 2020 close, so the written criterion is satisfied.
Independent confirmation of the year-end level: the S&P 500 reached a record 3,756.07 at the end of 2020.
Contemporaneous CNBC market report validating the underlying index series at two nearby points: the S&P 500 rose 1.2% on Monday 2 November 2020 and closed at 3,369.16 on 3 November 2020, both matching the Stooq daily series exactly.
Independent second-provider corroboration of direction and magnitude: Stooq's dividend-adjusted SPY series returns +7.23% from 2020-11-06 to 2020-12-31, consistent with the index's +7.03% price return plus the December distribution.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.86- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
US stocks (the S&P 500) finish 2020 higher than their 2020-…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 5, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-11-06
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources