Full record
HitmarketsThe S&P 500 surpasses its all-time high of about 3,025.
A scored prediction by Tom Lee, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“I think we're going to surpass that soon and it would be bullish for bitcoin.”
The S&P 500 surpasses its all-time high of about 3,025.
- Made on
- 2019-09-15
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2019-10-28
The S&P 500 closes above its prior record of about 3,025 (set 2019-07-26) at any point on or before 2020-09-15.
Satisfied 43 days after the claim and about 10.5 months before the 2020-09-15 deadline. The criterion's 'about 3,025' matches the actual record close of 3025.86 exactly; the 2019-07-26 intraday high was 3027.98 (the figure CNBC cites as 3,027.98), and the 2019-10-28 close of 3039.42 clears both the closing and intraday versions, so the 'about' wording introduces no ambiguity. The index reached 3580.84 on 2020-09-02, still inside the window, despite the February-March 2020 COVID crash in between. No conflicting evidence.
Sources
Tom Lee: Bitcoin and S&P 500 are heading to new all-time highs
CNBC ·
Evidence of what happened
S&P 500 daily closes from FRED (series SP500, licensed from S&P Dow Jones Indices). The standing record close when the claim was made was 3025.86 on 2019-07-26 - verified as the maximum close on or before 2019-09-15 (the last close before the claim was 3007.39 on 2019-09-13). It remained the record until 2019-10-28, when the index closed at 3039.42, the first close above 3,025 inside the window. Follow-on closes: 2019-10-29 3036.89, 2019-10-30 3046.77, 2019-11-01 3066.91.
Contemporaneous confirmation: CNBC reported on 2019-10-28 that the S&P 500 hit a fresh all-time high, breaching its July 26 high, on strong earnings and US-China trade progress.
Raw daily-close series used for the check (rolling 10-year CSV export of FRED SP500), which also shows the window maximum close of 3580.84 on 2020-09-02.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The S&P 500 surpasses its all-time high of about 3,025.- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 5, 2026
- Made on
- 2019-09-15
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources