Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin reaches $25,000 per coin within five years (by roughly September 2022).
A scored prediction by Tom Lee, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“if it's 5% of gold in five years it's 25,000 per unit”
Bitcoin reaches $25,000 per coin within five years (by roughly September 2022).
- Made on
- 2017-09-14
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.86
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2020-12-26
Bitcoin trades at or above $25,000 per coin at any point on or before 2022-09-18, per a major exchange or reference index (any intraday or daily close at or above the level counts).
Criterion as written ('trades at or above $25,000 at any point on or before 2022-09-18') is satisfied: first crossing 2020-12-26 on two independent major exchanges, with a $69,000 peak on 2021-11-10. Noting for completeness that bitcoin was NOT above $25,000 on the deadline date itself (2022-09-18 close $19,419) — but the criterion is explicitly an any-point test, so this does not change the resolution; it is recorded only so the quantify stage sees the full picture. This is not conflicting evidence: the exchange record is unanimous. The threshold was cleared roughly 21 months before the five-year horizon expired.
Sources
Evidence of what happened
Bitstamp daily OHLC: bitcoin first traded at or above $25,000 on 2020-12-26, with a daily high of $26,809.50 and a daily close of $26,466.28 — inside the record's window (2017-09-18 to 2022-09-18) and about 21 months before the deadline.
Coinbase Exchange daily candles independently confirm the same first crossing: 2020-12-26 high $26,822.00, close $26,475.35. The preceding day 2020-12-25 peaked at $24,770.95, just short of the threshold, isolating 2020-12-26 as the crossing date on both exchanges.
Magnitude context: bitcoin went far above $25,000 within the window, peaking at $69,000.00 on 2021-11-10 on both Bitstamp and Coinbase — roughly 2.8x the predicted level, and ten months before the five-year deadline.
Deadline-date context from Bitstamp: on the deadline itself, 2022-09-18, bitcoin opened $20,116.00 and closed $19,419.00, below $25,000. The last day it traded at or above $25,000 before the deadline was 2022-08-15 (high $25,212.00).
Corrections
- Date: 2017-09-18 is the third-party YouTube re-upload date; the CNBC 'Fast Money' segment aired 2017-09-14 (CNBC video /2017/09/14/ + CNBC Fast Money tweet), recap 2017-09-15.
- horizon deadline: Five-year horizon anchored to corrected air date 2017-09-14. Not outcome-determinative.
- Quote sourcing: Claimed fetched-primary transcript is not on disk and the video is a third-party re-upload, not the pundit's channel. The $25,000-in-five-years claim is carried directly by CNBC (reputable) — the correct primary-equivalent tier.
Effect on the score
+2.86- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin reaches $25,000 per coin within five years (by roug…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 5, 2026
- Made on
- 2017-09-14
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources