Full record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin reaches $6,000 by mid-2018.

A scored prediction by Tom Lee, made on .

TweetQuote from the original sourcecryptomarkets

Scored prediction

Hitcrypto

Tom Lee sees bitcoin jumping to $6,000 next year @foimbert @fundstrat #bitcoin

Bitcoin reaches $6,000 by mid-2018.

Made on
2017-08-18
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Effect on score
+2.86

What counted as right

Status
resolved
Settled on
2017-10-20

Bitcoin trades at or above $6,000 per coin at any point on or before 2018-06-30, per a major exchange or reference index (any intraday or daily close at or above the level counts).

Criterion cleanly satisfied on both the intraday and daily-close variants it allows. First intraday touch of $6,000: 2017-10-20 (Bitstamp $6,074.00, Coinbase $6,063.99). First daily close at or above $6,000: 2017-10-21 (Bitstamp $6,013.46, Coinbase $6,024.86). resolved_on set to 2017-10-20, the first date the criterion's 'any intraday ... at or above the level counts' clause was met; if the quantify stage prefers a close-based anchor the date is 2017-10-21. No ambiguity and no conflicting evidence — two independent major exchanges agree on the crossing date. Threshold was reached roughly eight months ahead of the deadline and the level was exceeded by a wide margin thereafter.

Sources

  • Tom Lee sees bitcoin jumping to $6,000 next year

    X (Twitter) — @fundstrat (Tom Lee) ·

    SourceArchive

  • Archived capture of twitter.com/fundstrat timeline

    Wayback Machine ·

    Source

  • Tom Lee sees bitcoin jumping to $6,000 next year

    CNBC ·

    Source

  • One of Wall Street's Biggest Stock Bears Ratchets Up His Bitcoin Forecast to $6,000

    X (Twitter) — @fundstrat (Tom Lee) ·

    Source

Evidence of what happened

  • Bitstamp daily OHLC: bitcoin first traded at or above $6,000 on 2017-10-20 (daily high $6,074.00, close $5,977.29), and first CLOSED above the level the next day, 2017-10-21, at $6,013.46 — about two months after the 2017-08-18 call and roughly eight months before the 2018-06-30 deadline.

    Evidence

  • Coinbase Exchange daily candles independently confirm the same date: 2017-10-20 high $6,063.99, close $5,989.10; 2017-10-21 high $6,189.10, close $6,024.86. The preceding day 2017-10-19 topped out at $5,750, below the threshold.

    Evidence

  • Magnitude context: within the same pre-deadline window bitcoin went far beyond $6,000, peaking at $19,666.00 on Bitstamp (2017-12-17) and $19,891.99 on Coinbase (2017-12-17), i.e. more than triple the predicted level well before mid-2018.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Effect on the score

+2.86
How sure they sounded
85%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5

This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Where this came from

Bitcoin reaches $6,000 by mid-2018.
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
August 5, 2026
Made on
2017-08-18

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