Full record
HitmarketsThe S&P 500 rises above 1,775 between early November 2013 and the end of 2013.
A scored prediction by Tom Lee, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“I don't think 1,775 is going to be any obstacle for the market between now and year-end,”
The S&P 500 rises above 1,775 between early November 2013 and the end of 2013.
- Made on
- 2013-11-04
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2013-11-13
'1,775 is not an obstacle' is read as the index clearing that level rather than being capped by it. TRUE if the S&P 500 closes above 1,775 at any point between 2013-11-04 and 2013-12-31; FALSE if 1,775 caps the index through year-end.
Unambiguous: the index cleared 1,775 on a closing basis on 2013-11-13 and continued higher, so both the literal test (a close above 1,775 within the window) and the 'not an obstacle / not capped' framing point the same way. resolved_on is the first qualifying close (2013-11-13), not the deadline, because the criterion is an 'at any point' test that completes on first satisfaction. No conflicting evidence found.
Sources
JPMorgan's Tom Lee: Bull stock market not getting respect
CNBC ·
Evidence of what happened
S&P 500 daily closes across the 2013-11-04 to 2013-12-31 window. Starting point 2013-11-04: 1,767.93. Subsequent closes: 11-05 1,762.97, 11-06 1,770.49, 11-07 1,747.15, 11-08 1,770.61, 11-11 1,771.89, 11-12 1,767.69, then 11-13 1,782.00 — the first close above 1,775, seven trading sessions after the claim. The index never returned below 1,775 on a closing basis for the rest of the window; the highest close in the window was 1,848.36 (2013-12-31).
Wikipedia milestone table shows the S&P 500 first closed above 1,800 on 2013-11-22 at 1,804.76 — inside this record's window and 29.76 points above the 1,775 level at issue, independently confirming that 1,775 did not cap the index through year-end.
Year-end reference table of S&P 500 annual closes gives the 2013-12-31 close as 1,848.36 — the window's terminal value, 73.36 points (4.1%) above the 1,775 level, confirming the index finished the window well clear of the threshold rather than being capped by it.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The S&P 500 rises above 1,775 between early November 2013 a…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 5, 2026
- Made on
- 2013-11-04
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources