Prediction record
HitmarketsSuncor stock will grind higher over the next several years while paying a hefty dividend.
A scored record for Lyn Alden, made on .
Scored record
Hitmarkets“I expect it to probably grind higher over the next several years while paying out a hefty dividend along the way”
Suncor stock will grind higher over the next several years while paying a hefty dividend.
- Made on
- 2022-03-17
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-03-01
Suncor (SU) share price is higher on 2025-03-01 than on 2022-03-01 (total-return positive, dividends paid throughout the window).
Criterion is explicitly total-return positive with dividends paid throughout. Dividend-adjusted close rose ~36% (2022-03 ~$27.23 -> 2025-03 ~$36.99); raw (unadjusted) NYSE price also rose materially over the window. Dividends were paid (and raised) continuously 2022-2025. Evidence aligns with the written criterion. NYSE-listed SU used (USD); the prediction referenced the US-listed ticker. One-source price series (digrin adjusted closes); a second independent series (Macrotrends/Yahoo) would firm up exact daily closes but the direction and magnitude are unambiguous and corroborated by the 52-week ranges and record-2025 reporting.
Sources
March 2022 Newsletter
lynalden.com ·
Outcome evidence
Suncor Energy (SU, NYSE) dividend-adjusted (total-return) monthly closing price was approximately $27.23 in March 2022 and approximately $36.99 in March 2025 — an increase of roughly +36% over the window, i.e. total-return positive. February 2025 adjusted close ~$36.18 confirms the level was well above the 2022 base right at the 2025-03-01 deadline.
Suncor maintained and grew its dividend throughout the window (current annual dividend ~$1.71, ~3.1% yield as of mid-2026); the company reported record 2025 operational performance, hitting its investor-day targets a year early — consistent with the 'grind higher while paying a hefty dividend' criterion. The dividend was paid continuously across 2022-2025.
Corrections
- Date: Actual March 2022 newsletter publication date.
- horizon deadline: +36mo 'several years' horizon re-anchored to corrected made_on.
Score contribution
+2.76- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Suncor stock will grind higher over the next several years…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 6, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-03-17
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources