Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin's price will be higher than its early-January-2021 level roughly 8 months forward (by ~September 2021).
A scored prediction by Lyn Alden, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“I also continue to be bullish on Bitcoin from current levels with an 8-month forward view, despite being up more than 5x from my initial entry price in April 2020”
Bitcoin's price will be higher than its early-January-2021 level roughly 8 months forward (by ~September 2021).
- Made on
- 2021-01-09
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.86
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-09-09
Bitcoin's price on/around 2021-09-09 is higher than its ~2021-01-09 level (~$40,000).
Criterion: BTC on/around 2021-09-09 is higher than its ~2021-01-09 level (~$40,000). BTC closed ~$46,391 on 2021-09-09 vs ~$40,000 in early Jan 2021 — higher by roughly +16%. Condition met. Caveat: BTC was volatile between the two dates (dipped well below $40k in mid-2021), but the criterion is a point-to-point comparison at the ~8-month mark, which is satisfied. Prices from secondary aggregators (StatMuse, Yahoo Finance); direction not in dispute. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
January 2021 Newsletter
lynalden.com ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin closed ~$46,391 on 2021-09-09, higher than its ~2021-01-09 level of roughly $40,000 (~$40,600 close on Jan 9, 2021).
Bitcoin historical daily data (Yahoo Finance) covering early Jan 2021 through Sep 2021 confirms the ~January-2021 ~$40k level and the higher ~$46k level in early September 2021.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.86- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin's price will be higher than its early-January-2021…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-01-09
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources