Prediction record
HitmarketsGold will appreciate over a multi-year horizon from mid-2020 levels.
A scored record for Lyn Alden, made on .
Scored record
Hitmarkets“I'm still bullish with a multi-year outlook”
Gold will appreciate over a multi-year horizon from mid-2020 levels.
- Made on
- 2020-08-16
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2023-05-04
Gold (spot XAU/USD) trades higher than its 2020-08-16 level (~$1,940/oz) at some point within the multi-year window ending 2023-08-16.
Criterion requires gold to trade higher than its ~$1,940 (2020-08-16) level at SOME POINT within the window ending 2023-08-16. Gold's 2023-05-04 high of ~$2,080/oz — within the window — satisfies this (roughly +7% above start). Condition met before the deadline; resolved_on set to the 2023-05-04 date the level was first clearly exceeded within the window. Note: gold traded above ~$1,940 at multiple earlier points too (e.g., early 2022), so the true first-crossing may be earlier; 2023-05-04 is a conservative, well-documented in-window confirmation.
Sources
August 2020 Newsletter
lynalden.com ·
Outcome evidence
Gold reached ~$2,080.72/oz on 2023-05-04, exceeding the ~$1,940 window-start reference (2020-08-16). Gold later set a further record ~$2,135/oz on 2023-12-03. Either 2023 print is above the ~$1,940 start level.
Gold spot was ~$1,940-1,945/oz around 2020-08-16 (window-start reference level cited in the criterion).
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+2.86- Confidence
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Gold will appreciate over a multi-year horizon from mid-202…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 6, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-08-16
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources