Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin will outperform precious metals (gold and silver) from mid-August 2020 through the end of 2021.
A scored record for Lyn Alden, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“I think it has a fairly high likelihood of outperforming precious metals from now through the end of 2021”
Bitcoin will outperform precious metals (gold and silver) from mid-August 2020 through the end of 2021.
- Made on
- 2020-08-16
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-12-31
Resolves TRUE if Bitcoin's price return from 2020-08-16 to 2021-12-31 exceeds the return of gold and silver (spot) over the same window. Bitcoin must beat both metals to fully resolve TRUE (primary weight given the 'precious metals' plural framing).
Bitcoin (~+289%) dramatically outperformed BOTH gold (~-6%) and silver (~-12%) over 2020-08-16 to 2021-12-31; the metals both had NEGATIVE returns while BTC nearly quadrupled. The 'beat both metals' plural-framing condition is unambiguously satisfied. Prices are spot/close approximations from secondary aggregators (StatMuse, CoinMarketCap historical snapshot, CoinNews, CNBC); exact figures vary by source/venue but the direction and magnitude are not in dispute. No outcome value assigned here.
Sources
August 2020 Newsletter
lynalden.com ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin closed ~$11,893 on 2020-08-16 and ~$46,329 on 2021-12-31, a return of roughly +289% over the window.
Bitcoin close on 2020-08-16 was approximately $11,892.80 (window start reference).
Gold spot was ~$1,940-1,945/oz around 2020-08-16 and closed 2021 near $1,829.66/oz — gold returned roughly -6% over the window (gold FELL). Silver spot was ~$26/oz in mid-Aug 2020 and closed 2021 at ~$23.27/oz, a loss of roughly -12%. Both metals had negative returns for 2021.
Gold price on 2021-12-31 confirmed at ~$1,829.66/oz; gold marked a yearly dip for 2021.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+2.76- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin will outperform precious metals (gold and silver) f…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 6, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-08-16
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources