Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin's next cycle peak will be roughly 2x to 5x its previous cycle high (~$20,000), implying roughly $40,000-$100,000.
A scored prediction by Lyn Alden, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“I think looking at the 2-5x range for the next peak relative to the previous cycle high makes sense here for the fourth cycle.”
Bitcoin's next cycle peak will be roughly 2x to 5x its previous cycle high (~$20,000), implying roughly $40,000-$100,000.
- Made on
- 2020-07-16
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-11-10
Resolves TRUE if Bitcoin's fourth-cycle peak reaches roughly 2x-5x the ~$20,000 previous cycle high (i.e. a peak in the ~$40,000-$100,000 range) at any point within the default price-target window (through 2023-07-16). A peak above ~$40,000 satisfies the lower bound; graded on whether the peak fell in/near the stated 2-5x band.
Resolves TRUE: the fourth-cycle peak of ~$69,000 is ~3.45x the ~$20,000 prior-cycle high, squarely inside the predicted 2x-5x band (~$40,000-$100,000). Peak occurred 2021-11-10, within the through-2023-07-16 window. Both the lower-bound test (peak >~$40,000) and the in-band grading are satisfied near the middle of the stated range.
Sources
3 Reasons I'm Investing in Bitcoin
lynalden.com ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin's fourth-cycle peak was ~$68,982 (~$69,000) on 2021-11-10, its all-time high that stood until March 2024 — within the price-target window ending 2023-07-16.
Confirmation the ~$68,982 Nov-10-2021 level was Bitcoin's record high (not surpassed until March 2024), fixing the fourth-cycle peak.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin's next cycle peak will be roughly 2x to 5x its prev…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-07-16
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources