Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin will rise to new all-time highs (above its ~$20,000 2017 peak) from mid-2020 levels within two years (by 2022-07-16).
A scored prediction by Lyn Alden, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“My base case is for Bitcoin to perform very well over the next 2 years, but we'll see. ... bullish with an increase to new all-time highs from current levels within two years, but not necessarily a 10x increase within two years.”
Bitcoin will rise to new all-time highs (above its ~$20,000 2017 peak) from mid-2020 levels within two years (by 2022-07-16).
- Made on
- 2020-07-16
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.76
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2020-12-16
Resolves TRUE if Bitcoin trades above its previous cycle all-time high (~$20,000 from Dec 2017) at any point between 2020-07-16 and 2022-07-16. The 'perform very well' framing is subsumed here; the checkable core is a new all-time high within two years.
Resolves TRUE: Bitcoin traded above its ~$20,000 Dec-2017 prior-cycle high on 2020-12-16 (and far higher through 2021), comfortably inside the two-year window ending 2022-07-16. The checkable core (a new all-time high within two years) was met about 5 months after the statement date.
Sources
3 Reasons I'm Investing in Bitcoin
lynalden.com ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin broke above $20,000 for the first time ever on 2020-12-16, exceeding its ~$20,000 December 2017 prior-cycle all-time high — well within the 2020-07-16 to 2022-07-16 window.
Bitcoin continued to a fresh record above $23,000 on 2020-12-17, confirming a decisive break to new all-time highs above the 2017 peak.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.76- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin will rise to new all-time highs (above its ~$20,000…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-07-16
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources