Prediction record
MisstechA Tesla will drive fully autonomously coast-to-coast from a California parking lot to a New York parking lot, controls untouched, in November or December 2017.
A scored record for Elon Musk, made on .
Scored record
Misstech“November or December of this year, we should be able to go all the way from a parking lot in California to a parking lot in New York, no controls touched at any point during the entire journey.”
A Tesla will drive fully autonomously coast-to-coast from a California parking lot to a New York parking lot, controls untouched, in November or December 2017.
- Made on
- 2017-04-28
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -0.84
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2017-12-31
TRUE if a Tesla completed a fully autonomous coast-to-coast drive (California to New York) with no controls touched, in November or December 2017; otherwise FALSE.
Distinct from the Oct-2016 claim: this is the April-2017 restatement scoped to Nov/Dec 2017, parking-lot-to-parking-lot. No such autonomous no-controls-touched CA-to-NY drive was completed in Nov or Dec 2017. resolved_on set to 2017-12-31, the point the Nov/Dec window closed with the event not having occurred. Consistent sources; no contrary evidence.
Sources
Outcome evidence
At TED2017 on April 28, 2017, Musk said verbatim: 'November or December of this year, we should be able to go from a parking lot in California to a parking lot in New York, no controls touched at any point during the entire journey.' This matches the record's criterion exactly (CA parking lot -> NY parking lot, controls untouched, Nov/Dec 2017).
TED Blog coverage of the April 28, 2017 talk records the same Nov/Dec 2017 no-controls-touched CA-to-NY claim, establishing the primary statement and its target window.
The drive did not occur in November or December 2017; by early January 2018 Tesla had pushed the coast-to-coast autonomous demo to '3 to 6 months away,' confirming it did not happen within the Nov/Dec 2017 window or by year-end 2017.
Corrections
- Quote wording: TED2017 transcript includes 'go all the way from a parking lot'; restore dropped phrase so verbatim is exact.
Score contribution
-0.84- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -0.84
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
A Tesla will drive fully autonomously coast-to-coast from a…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 7, 2026
- Made on
- 2017-04-28
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources