Full record
HiteconomyThe Bank of Japan will raise interest rates at its June 2026 meeting.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hiteconomy“the Bank of Japan is likely going to raise rates in June”
The Bank of Japan will raise interest rates at its June 2026 meeting.
- Made on
- 2026-05-29
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Effect on score
- +3.68
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2026-06-16
The Bank of Japan announces an increase to its policy interest rate at its June 2026 monetary policy meeting.
Criterion (an increase to the policy rate announced at the June 2026 meeting) fully and unambiguously satisfied. The June meeting fell on 16 June 2026; the Board raised the policy rate 25bp to 1.00% by a 7-1 vote (dissent: Asada, favoring a hold). Primary source is the BoJ's own k260616a.pdf decision statement, corroborated by CNBC and FocusEconomics.
Sources
Bitcoin: The Window of Weakness
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Official BoJ decision statement, 16 June 2026 meeting: guideline for money market operations changed — policy interest rate raised by 25bp to 1.00%.
CNBC: BoJ hikes rates to 1%, highest since 1995; decision at the 16 June meeting by a 7-1 board vote, citing inflation/yen pressures.
FocusEconomics: 'Bank of Japan resumes tightening cycle in June' — 16 June 2026 meeting, +25bp to 1.00%, 7-1 vote.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+3.68- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The Bank of Japan will raise interest rates at its June 202…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2026-05-29
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources