Full record
HiteconomyThe Federal Reserve holds interest rates constant at its late-April 2026 meeting
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hiteconomy“there is a 98% chance the Fed holds rates constant in late April.”
The Federal Reserve holds interest rates constant at its late-April 2026 meeting
- Made on
- 2026-04-10
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +3
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2026-04-29
The FOMC leaves its target federal funds rate range unchanged at its late-April 2026 meeting
Deadline (2026-04-30) passed. Cleanly resolvable from primary source. The FOMC left the target range unchanged at 3.5–3.75% at its late-April (Apr 28–29) 2026 meeting, exactly matching the criterion. No outcome value assigned here.
Sources
Inflation Soars to 3.3%
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
PRIMARY: Federal Reserve Implementation Note issued April 29, 2026 — FOMC maintained the target range for the federal funds rate at 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent (unchanged) at the Apr 28–29 meeting.
PRIMARY: FOMC minutes, April 28–29, 2026, confirming the hold decision.
Corroborating: CNBC (Apr 29, 2026) — 'Fed holds rates steady amid dissent'; committee split 8–4 (Miran preferred a 25bp cut; Hammack, Kashkari, Logan opposed an easing bias).
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+3- How sure they sounded
- 98%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The Federal Reserve holds interest rates constant at its la…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2026-04-10
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources