Prediction record

Misscrypto

Bitcoin returns to ~$60,000 by early May 2026

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecryptomarkets

Scored record

Misscrypto

What I think will likely be back to 60k.

Bitcoin returns to ~$60,000 by early May 2026

Made on
2026-04-17
Outcome
Miss
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
-0.56

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2026-05-10

Bitcoin trades at approximately $60,000 (reaches the $60k area) on or before ~2026-05-10

Deadline (~2026-05-10) passed. Bitcoin did NOT return to ~$60k; it stayed ~$75k–$82k throughout and peaked near $82.3k on May 6. Prediction appears unfulfilled, but no outcome value (o) is assigned — that is the quantify stage.

Sources

  • Bitcoin: Dubious Speculation

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Across the entire window (made 2026-04-17 → deadline ~2026-05-10) BTC traded in the ~$75k–$82k band and NEVER approached the $60k area. Apr 24 = $78,126.15; Apr 30 = $76,316.44.

    Evidence

  • Apr 30, 2026 = $76,316.44 (well above $60k).

    Evidence

  • Early May BTC climbed further: May 5 = $81,286.38; May 6 = $82,320.02 — the window high, ~$22k above the $60k target.

    Evidence

  • May 15, 2026 = $80,120.03; over the prior ~month BTC rose ~7.4% from ~$74,604, confirming no visit to the $60k area within the window.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: Bitcoin price target's most-central controlled tag is 'crypto'; harmonized to [crypto,markets] with markets retained as secondary so the per-tag sub-score routes to the crypto bucket.

Score contribution

-0.56
Confidence
80%
Outcome
Miss
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
-0.56

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin returns to ~$60,000 by early May 2026
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2026-04-17

How this profile was built

  1. Scored by independent judges

  2. Predictions gathered and sourced

  3. Independently verified against sources

Every public score traces back to sourced prediction records.

Avow is an independent project. The pundits scored here are not affiliated with Avow and do not endorse it. Names and likenesses are used for identification and commentary.

Evidence firstMethodology