Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin continues to grind lower (lower highs and lower lows) for at least the next few months, into summer 2026
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“Bitcoin will likely continue to sort of slowly go lower for at least a few more months”
Bitcoin continues to grind lower (lower highs and lower lows) for at least the next few months, into summer 2026
- Made on
- 2026-02-01
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.84
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2026-02-05
Bitcoin makes at least one lower low relative to its late-January/early-February 2026 price at some point by 2026-06-30.
Criterion — 'at least one lower low relative to its late-January/early-February 2026 price by 2026-06-30' — is satisfied. Taking the reference as the price at the time of the 2026-02-01 call (~$74,500), BTC printed a lower low on 2026-02-06 (~$60,000) and stayed below that reference through the deadline, re-testing the low-to-mid $60,000s into June/summer. resolved_on marks the first confirmed lower low (2026-02-06); the condition held through 2026-06-30. Interpretation note for transparency: if 'late-January/early-February price' were instead read to mean the 2026-02-06 low itself (~$60k), no subsequent H1 low broke beneath it (June low ~$61k) — but the natural reading is the call-time price, under which the criterion is clearly met. No outcome value assigned (scoring is a later stage).
Sources
Bitcoin: Damage Report
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
At the time the call was made, BTC traded ~$74,500 on 2026-02-01 (its lowest since April 2025); Forbes reported it fell below $75,000 on 2026-02-03 to a fresh 2026 low. This establishes the late-January/early-February 2026 reference price at roughly $74–75k.
On 2026-02-06 BTC crashed ~15% intraday to ~$60,000–$60,062, its lowest since October 2024 and ~52% off the October 2025 ATH — a clear lower low well beneath the ~$74.5k early-February reference. It then re-tested the low-to-mid $60,000s repeatedly (Feb 24, Mar 28/29, and again through June), the June low reaching ~$61,351 / ~$65,200. Every one of these lows sits below the early-February reference.
CNBC (2026-06-03) reported BTC set to slump to new 2026 lows after the June sell-off, with the mid-$60,000s repeatedly re-tested; confirms price remained below the early-February level throughout the window into summer.
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin price call → crypto primary, markets secondary.
- resolution resolved on: Public record (Forbes/CNBC, 2026-02-05) places the ~15% crash to ~$60k on Feb 5; criterion satisfaction unchanged.
Effect on the score
+1.84- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin continues to grind lower (lower highs and lower low…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2026-02-01
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources