Prediction record
HiteconomyJerome Powell is replaced as Chair of the Federal Reserve in May 2026.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hiteconomy“Powell is likely going to be replaced as chair of the Federal Reserve in May of 2026”
Jerome Powell is replaced as Chair of the Federal Reserve in May 2026.
- Made on
- 2025-12-09
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Contribution
- +3.68
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2026-05-22
Jerome Powell ceases to be Fed Chair and a successor is installed by the end of May 2026.
Criterion met: Powell ceased to be Fed Chair and successor Kevin Warsh was installed (sworn in May 22, 2026), within the end-of-May-2026 window. Note nuance: Powell remains on the Board as a governor after stepping down as Chair — but the claim concerns the Chair role, which was transferred. resolved_on = swearing-in date 2026-05-22.
Sources
Bitcoin Pre-FOMC
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Federal Reserve Board press release (May 15, 2026): Powell named chair pro tempore and 'will serve as chair pro tempore until Kevin M. Warsh is sworn in as the new chair' — confirming Powell's tenure as Chair ends and a named successor is installed.
Kevin Warsh sworn in as the 17th Fed Chair on May 22, 2026 (Senate confirmed 54-45), succeeding Jerome Powell. Successor installed within May 2026.
Kiplinger: coverage of Kevin Warsh's confirmation/announcement as new Fed Chair, corroborating the succession in May 2026.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+3.68- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Contribution
- +3.68
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Jerome Powell is replaced as Chair of the Federal Reserve i…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-12-09
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources